Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 194.450564 217.704490 243.281779 273.613618 308.745511 348.327383 396.536860
2025-04-20 163.443714 195.376124 233.491521 282.811426 345.628001 423.899824 530.302307
2025-04-27 147.376576 184.093523 230.429518 294.163491 381.093920 497.844854 670.605402
2025-05-04 132.195319 170.736398 221.495610 294.731890 400.247878 550.938305 790.460667
2025-05-11 117.869571 156.301603 208.666975 287.199880 405.568117 583.566788 884.475436
2025-05-18 106.841247 144.940262 198.408507 281.375168 411.575387 616.783462 984.153205
2025-05-25 101.569184 140.991558 198.002740 289.624048 439.592140 688.045100 1161.376634
2025-06-01 94.881206 134.247841 192.625312 289.267933 453.276013 737.068319 1308.527985
2025-06-08 88.004811 126.567751 184.999615 284.255494 458.129195 770.878675 1433.143436
2025-06-15 83.233036 121.663090 181.160905 284.885668 472.562279 823.932991 1608.462969
2025-06-22 77.622287 114.991500 173.888883 278.820636 473.943195 851.995205 1735.983289
2025-06-29 73.447442 110.278265 169.380059 277.022714 482.874454 896.155435 1910.767732
2025-07-06 67.613263 102.579679 159.478865 264.912882 471.050378 896.822027 1984.221841
2025-07-13 65.972224 101.653282 160.941572 273.697976 501.703594 993.715155 2330.704288
2025-07-20 64.782617 101.365919 163.432230 284.600868 538.160366 1110.631606 2771.692774
2025-07-27 62.070570 98.283676 160.723741 285.146489 552.678962 1179.041879 3096.917952
2025-08-03 58.450535 93.396783 154.404961 277.914424 549.156514 1202.635408 3291.671727
2025-08-10 55.356368 89.247532 149.142984 272.320445 548.611896 1233.767870 3523.072397
2025-08-17 54.308639 88.656527 150.407681 280.242249 580.339953 1356.089115 4121.578856
2025-08-24 52.268074 86.148546 147.871147 279.900299 592.354114 1427.188758 4564.201398
2025-08-31 49.828083 82.773497 143.447044 275.086808 592.777467 1465.464250 4895.374715
2025-09-07 48.193953 80.790626 141.584143 275.692013 606.892498 1547.227767 5449.797675
2025-09-14 45.941714 77.536517 137.017001 269.866766 603.707791 1575.632688 5782.759212